Prepare for America’s right-wing dictatorship before 2030, urges Canadian scholar


A Canadian political scientist urged his country’s government to prepare for the possibility of the United States becoming a right-wing dictatorship before 2030.

In an editorial published in The Globe and Mail Thomas Homer-Dixon, executive director of the Cascade Institute at Royal Roads University in British Columbia, on Friday warned his country had to prepare for the worst-case scenario.

“By 2025, America’s democracy could crumble, causing extreme domestic political instability, including widespread civil violence,” Homer-Dixon wrote.

“By 2030, if not sooner, the country could be ruled by a right-wing dictatorship. We should not rule out these possibilities just because they seem ridiculous or too horrible to imagine.

“In 2014, the suggestion that Donald Trump would become president would have struck almost everyone as absurd as well. But today we live in a world where the absurd regularly becomes real and the ugly banality.”

The scholar added: “The [U.S.] is becoming more and more ungovernable, and some experts believe it could escalate into civil war. “

Three retired U.S. military generals last month warned of the possibility of civil war if the 2024 presidential election results are not accepted by sections of the military.

In November, more than 150 U.S. academics wrote a public letter supporting the Freedom to Vote Act, which deals with voter registration and access, and has yet to be passed. These researchers warned that “democracy advocates in America still have a slim window of opportunity to act. But time is running out and midnight is approaching. “

In the editorial, Homer-Dixon detailed the reasons for what he called the “ongoing crisis” in the United States, writing that there had been multiple “warning signs” and the reasons for a changing political landscape.

Among them, he cited “stagnant middle-class incomes, chronic economic insecurity and growing inequality,” and a broadcaster such as the late Rush Limbaugh who he said had “hammered” the “moral authority of political institutions. American “.

He also pointed to “right-wing ideologues” stoking fears of a white “replacement”, the refusal of the rich and powerful “to pay taxes, invest in public services or create opportunities for vertical mobility” .

The editorial made reference to former President Trump, his administration and “Trumpism” 28 times.

At one point, Homer-Dixon wrote that “if Mr. Trump is re-elected, even under the most optimistic scenarios, the economic and political risks to our country will be innumerable. “

News week has contacted Trump’s rep for comment.

Discussing the “big lie” – Trump’s false claim that the 2020 presidential election was stolen – Homer-Dixon said that if Trump were re-elected in 2024, the GOP leader would have “only two goals: justification and revenge “.

“A terrible storm is coming from the south and Canada is absolutely unprepared,” wrote the political scientist.

“Over the past year, we have turned our attention inward, distracted by the challenges of COVID-19, reconciliation and the accelerated effects of climate change. democracy in the United States.

“We must begin by fully recognizing the extent of the danger.”

Homer-Dixon advised the Canadian government to create a permanent, non-partisan parliamentary committee to “receive information on the state of democracy in the United States and make recommendations.”

The American flag flies in front of the dome of the United States Capitol on September 10, 2021 in Washington, DC. A Canadian political scientist has warned that his country should prepare for the possibility of an American dictatorship by 2030.
Drew Angerer / Getty Images


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